Участник:Only one team will win the miracle, and will KT become 2013 Samsung

KT lost 4-15 in Game 4 of the Korean Series (KS, best-of-seven series) on the 11th. With the loss, KT recorded one win and three losses in the series, and one more loss will end the season as the runner-up. Three consecutive wins are needed to win the championship.

What is the probability of winning the KS Game 5-7 with three consecutive wins. According to the previous KS records, a total of 17 teams have won one game and lost three games until Game 4. Among them, only one team won the championship. In terms of probability, it is only 5.9%.

The team that won the miracle was the Samsung Lions in 2013. At that time, Samsung went straight to KS as No. 1 in the regular season, but it was hit by Doosan, which came up from the semi-playoff to KS as No. 4 in the regular season, and recorded 1 win and 3 losses, putting it on the verge of "upset (the lower-ranked team in the regular season catching the top team in the postseason)." However, Samsung escaped from the brink with Game 5 and Game 6's "breakthrough operation," then gained momentum and won Game 7 to achieve its third consecutive KS feat.

Samsung's unconventional operation in the 5th and 6th games was possible because of a solid starting lineup. At that time, Samsung had a prominent foreigner named Rick Vanden-Hulk and a "native 10 wins and 4 people" named Yoon Sung-hwan, Jang Won-sam, Bae Young-soo, and Cha Woo-chan. Although they failed to continue their regular season prowess in KS. At that time, however, Samsung actively used them as bullpen and found a way out.

Vanden Hulk pitched two innings as a relief pitcher in Game 5. He took only a day off and started in Game 6, followed by Bae Young-soo and Cha Woo-chan as middle pitchers. In Game 6, bullpen pitchers such as Shim Chang-min, Kwon Hyuk, and Ahn Ji-man all joined, creating an unusual scene where a total of nine pitchers combined to win. Ryu Joong-il, then head coach of Samsung, succeeded in a dramatic come-from-behind victory.

KT also has a solid starting lineup. There are William Cuevas and Wes Benjamin foreign one-two punches and native ace Ko Young-pyo. All three players started in the first to third games and played their roles by preventing more than five innings with minimum runs. Eom Sang-baek, the fourth starter who returned from injury (fine rib fracture), also saw possibility in Game 4.

The difference from Samsung 10 years ago is the loose bullpen. KT has confirmed the possibility of young players such as Son Dong-hyun, Park Young-hyun and Lee Sang-dong in the fall baseball league. However, they are very tired because they have been going through the playoffs. Closer Kim Jae-yoon and other bullpen resources are so low in ball power that it is difficult to pursue. Like Samsung in 2013, its players are too thin to operate in an unconventional manner. For KT, the best method seems to be the "starting baseball" and the ball method that relies on a must-win group.

What decision will KT manager Lee Kang-chul make on the brink of being eliminated if he loses one more game. "I've also won three consecutive games after two losses in the playoffs. I believe that good energy will come (even in Games 5 to 7 of KS)," he hoped. 스포츠토토